Technology

Concerns Over Aged Care Algorithm Intensify as Wait Times and Death Rates Increase

Many individuals are struggling with an aged care algorithm linked to funding, leading to increased calls for reform amid rising waitlists and complaints.

Aug 22, 2026 ● 3 min read
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"The idea of an Independent Assessment Tool didn't drop from the sky; we didn't come up with it," stated Mark Butler, the Minister for Health, addressing questions about the controversial aged care algorithm during a recent press conference. He emphasized that the tool is based on recommendations from the Royal Commission into Aged Care. However, it seems critical distinctions between the Independent Assessment Tool (IAT) and the government’s computer algorithm are being overlooked.

The IAT serves as a questionnaire filled out by clinicians assessing individuals for aged care services and was thoroughly tested on a cohort of 22,000 people, involving multiple working groups, including clinicians. Unlike the IAT, the algorithm, which scores individuals to determine their funding, is shrouded in secrecy. It lacks a transparent development process that includes clinical oversight. This mismatch raises concerns about its effectiveness and fairness.

Transparency Issues Surrounding the Algorithm

The lack of public information regarding the algorithm's development is troubling. The Department of Health claims to have based it on data from 200,000 assessments. However, no live trials were conducted, and the government has refrained from disclosing detailed validation reports. Despite formal requests from senators for more transparency, the responses provided have not satisfied critics.

Professor Kathy Eagar, an honorary professor at the University of New South Wales with experience designing funding classification algorithms, has been outspoken about these issues. In a recent analysis, she pointed out glaring flaws in the algorithm used for the aged care assessments, noting that while the IAT comprises over 500 questions, only a subset affects funding decisions. Furthermore, critical clinician notes about the patient’s frailty and mental health, which should inform care decisions, do not impact the final funding calculation.

Government's Response and Community Backlash

Public response to the algorithm has been stark. With over 1,000 requests for reviews of algorithm decisions made within the first five months of its rollout—six times the number of requests from the previous financial year—the government maintains that this figure represents a minuscule proportion of total assessments. Yet, Eagar argues that the low percentage of appeals stems from the complexity involved and a general sense of defeat among those affected.

In a direct criticism of the algorithm's appeal process, Eagar remarked, "The reason that it's a very small percentage is because it's too hard and complex to appeal and also people are giving up." Many community members feel that appealing decisions means going back to the same department responsible for the flawed system, creating a sense of futility.

A Call for Revisions Amidst Mounting Complaints

The situation continues to escalate. The Senate has called for a reevaluation of the algorithm, and the ombudsman is now conducting an investigation following 800 formal complaints. As pressure from independent MPs grows, comparisons are drawn to the so-called 'Robodebt' fiasco, where automatic debt collection practices led to widespread financial distress. Butler acknowledged the current issues, promising efforts to monitor the rollout, yet the mechanisms in place appear insufficient for immediate change.

Significantly, the government rejected a proposed amendment that would allow clinicians to override algorithm decisions—an action that could have provided an immediate check against erroneous funding cuts. Instead, the administration plans to develop new pathways for assessment agencies to request reviews. This revelation has not quelled public discontent, as many feel the burden remains largely on families or individuals to navigate an already convoluted system.

Looking Ahead: A Community in Distress

The growing waitlists and increasing reports of individuals suffering because of inadequate care stem directly from the opaque awarding of funding based on algorithmic outcomes. Calls to action are not just stemming from officials; community conversations are revealing a deepening unrest as families share their experiences on platforms like Facebook. There’s a palpable sense of urgency for reform in a system where people are increasingly feeling abandoned.

The message is clear: unless substantive changes are enacted to address the transparency and functionality of the aged care algorithm, individuals will continue to face significant barriers, ultimately impacting their access to essential care. Both government officials and the Department of Health have an obligation to ensure that the systems designed to support vulnerable populations are not only effective but also equitable.

Source: Anne Connolly · www.abc.net.au

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